Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 6.650011 7.370407 8.201671 9.248866 10.559117 12.183460 14.418708
2024-12-22 5.575785 6.418584 7.464481 8.904844 10.924221 13.819934 18.688629
2024-12-29 5.080675 6.050172 7.336987 9.273144 12.346164 17.622505 29.616250
2025-01-05 4.640501 5.676127 7.128201 9.488185 13.705971 22.544338 53.853006
2025-01-12 4.151006 5.163803 6.634928 9.154230 14.066333 26.242746 100.876088
2025-01-19 3.727924 4.693184 6.131299 8.691871 14.039995 29.438995 246.917289
2025-01-26 3.608102 4.647472 6.274761 9.412600 17.050836 50.234302 NaN
2025-02-02 3.623220 4.806672 6.785856 11.064163 24.516963 234.785776 NaN
2025-02-09 3.516193 4.758579 6.933964 12.058565 32.381965 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 3.380747 4.646175 6.943697 12.760851 41.879797 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 3.235205 4.499374 6.861104 13.209310 53.250496 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 2.998721 4.172233 6.366822 12.278616 49.913865 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 2.877289 4.060753 6.352455 13.020350 75.124508 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 2.653754 3.747067 5.866696 12.050562 70.552368 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 2.537911 3.618733 5.765793 12.395790 104.517505 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 2.420724 3.477133 5.614963 12.520201 158.381580 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 2.272343 3.265879 5.279413 11.806697 155.393195 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.131295 3.059417 4.934567 10.966957 132.926693 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.094392 3.044874 5.028522 11.958288 650.268892 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.107203 3.126001 5.367722 14.437593 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.071795 3.109262 5.464134 15.939324 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.022937 3.060901 5.470134 16.995907 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.967392 2.994152 5.415801 17.652809 NaN NaN NaN